Being Human and all that

August 21, 2007

Jim Sinclair chimes in

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 2:02 pm

“Just think for a moment about what is below. It is beyond the beyond. It is the total pile of greed on the planet. It is the size of the financial weapons of mass destruction now starting to fire. The damage this is going to do to the man in the street might end with capital punishment for all identified derivative traders. The paper changers have gone way too far this time.

The size of the over the counter credit derivative non-market in which notional value becomes real value in a meltdown is unbelievably huge. That means junk all the intellectual arguments. The numbers you see here become absolute value numbers in a meltdown situation. When specific performance is called for it is all called for, a slice, portion, or any other geek speak is not acceptable.

This insures the injection of liquidity in amounts never before even imagined. Tighten your seat belts.

I would like to show you the size of this financial weapon of mass destruction. In the credit default swaps business there are only 14 meaningful dealers, of which only 5 count. Think of that. Dwell on that “minimum dealer numbers – maximum financial destruction.” What a web they have woven!

These numbers have been mainly created by 5 of the most prestigious names in finance. All 5 will fail unless college boy Ben and the rest of the Central Banks light a fire to the US dollar. These houses cannot fail without throwing the entire financial system into a catastrophe so they will not fail at any cost to the public.

The Bank for International Settlements reported the notional amount on outstanding OTC credit default swaps to be $20.4 trillion in June 2006, up $10.1 trillion (99%) from June 2005.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency reported the notional amount on outstanding credit derivatives from 882 reporting banks to be $5.472 trillion at the end of March, 2006.

The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) reported the notional amount of credit default swaps grew by 101% over the year 2006, to $34.4 trillion.

This makes the total US debt look like kindergarten lunch money.”

www.jsmineset.com

August 20, 2007

Asian markets enjoying a refreshing pop this evening

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 4:50 am

Personally, I expect this little bounce to only last a few days – I’d be somewhat disappointed if this was all the bloodshed that we will see…markets need to punish bad behaviour just as much as they need to reward good behaviour.

August 18, 2007

For those crazy enough to play the markets this month

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money,Music,Video — beinghumanandallthat @ 10:54 pm

August 16, 2007

Bleed baby bleed!

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money,Video — beinghumanandallthat @ 3:32 am

Markets really taking it on the chin….bloodbath out there. I can’t say that I’ve been extra happy these past few days. I anticipated this fall but apparently did not hedge myself enough to avoid losing big bucks (mind you, less than had I not hedged).

How did this start? This article gives a basic explanation – if you can make it through it without vomiting at how disgusting these practices are….

Maybe George Carlin has a few words for this moment?

August 6, 2007

USD Index breaks below 80!

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 6:56 am

Didn’t expect it to happen so fast…this is a big deal – the question being whether or not it starts a death spiral or if it finds support somewhere soon.

Second shot at a nasty Monday in the markets

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 4:50 am

Bear Stearns stock will likely bend over and pay its dues in the morning, this is not going to help confidence much.

Asia getting hit very hard again this evening, check this out.

Tick tock tick tock on the USD, treading water at the 80 level, here’s a 15 minute delayed chart.

I think that we will see a major bail-out for the lenders, but I could be wrong. With regard to rates this week, I’m thinking that the Fed does nothing….lowering rates will make inflation explode and raising them will make the housing problem get much worse much quicker. Screwed if you do, screwed if you don’t. We are in for interesting times…

August 3, 2007

stocks

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 8:29 pm

Markets took it on the chin this afternoon…just look at how the volume picks up considerably when the sell-off starts catching on at the end:

August 2, 2007

Next round tomorrow

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 4:46 am

Plunge Protection Team versus markets purging themselves of “irrational exuberance” will continue once again tomorrow. Asia is getting pummeled once again .

My bet is that if Asia closes down then the Dow and the S&P will tumble fairly hard tomorrow. Also, for some reason gold and silver seem to be following the markets in step. Some of this can be attributed to the unwinding of the Yen Carry trade, but I think that a key divergence will be coming up soon enough.

August 1, 2007

Bear Stearns

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 3:41 pm

Yeah, we’ll just re-package mortgage debt and sell it to our own customers like low risk funds….that’s a brilliant idea! Give that man a raise!

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070801/bear_funds.html?.v=3

Follow the helicopter man

Filed under: Economics,Markets,Money — beinghumanandallthat @ 3:39 pm

Check out the three operations on the 26th…..only one today will not cut it, bring in the helicopter drop!

http://www.ny.frb.org/markets/omo/dmm/temp.cfm?SHOWMORE=TRUE

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